Imagined Future Scenarios
Behavioral Economics, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Exploring entrepreneurial intention among European Union youth by education and employment status' - Plos.org
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased entrepreneurship leads to wider economic participation and social mobility.
Technological Impact: Holographic technology becomes commonplace, fueling advancements in AR/VR and AI training models.
Ecological Impact: Increased resource consumption due to booming entrepreneurship exacerbates environmental degradation.
Economic Impact: Significant economic growth fueled by successful startups and increased productivity.
Political Impact: Governments actively promote holographic mentorship programs to foster economic competitiveness.
Narrative: A hyper-productive world thrives on personalized guidance, driving relentless economic expansion.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Inequitable access to holographic mentors widens the wealth gap, fueling social unrest and resentment.
Technological Impact: The digital divide intensifies as reliable internet access becomes a critical barrier to success.
Ecological Impact: Overproduction and rapid consumption deplete resources, leading to ecological disasters.
Economic Impact: Mass unemployment results from AI-driven business automation, coupled with mentor program malfunction.
Political Impact: Government collapses under the weight of social unrest and economic instability.
Narrative: Failed access and unchecked growth leads to societal breakdown fueled by disparity and resource depletion.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Entrepreneurs are molded to fit pre-defined economic roles, stifling creativity and individuality leading to homogenous culture.
Technological Impact: Holographic mentors are used as tools for social control and labor optimization.
Ecological Impact: Resource allocation is tightly controlled, prioritizing specific industries dictated by the central planners.
Economic Impact: Economic activity is centrally planned and regulated via AI-driven mentorship, eliminating free markets.
Political Impact: Authoritarian regimes use the holographic mentorship program to enforce conformity and suppress dissent.
Narrative: A rigidly controlled society where holographic mentors enforce conformity and optimize economic output.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Entrepreneurs leverage holographic mentors to develop sustainable and ethical businesses focused on social good.
Technological Impact: Holographic mentorship evolves into a decentralized network promoting collaboration and open-source innovation.
Ecological Impact: Businesses prioritizing environmental sustainability lead to a regenerative economy.
Economic Impact: The focus shifts from GDP growth to well-being and equitable distribution of resources
Political Impact: Participatory governance structures emerge enabling citizens to shape economic policy.
Narrative: A decentralized, collaborative world driven by ethical and sustainable practices facilitated by holographic mentors.