Imagined Future Scenarios
Augmented Reality, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Tech Trends of 2025: Folding Smartphones, Eco-Friendly Gadgets & More' - Yanko Design
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Social interactions become increasingly performative and superficial, driven by optimized avatar appearances.
Technological Impact: AR technology advances rapidly, leading to increasingly realistic and complex avatar customizations.
Ecological Impact: Increased energy consumption for AR processing and manufacturing of glasses and related technologies.
Economic Impact: A booming avatar customization industry fuels economic growth, with personalized digital fashion and accessory markets.
Political Impact: Governments grapple with regulating avatar identities and digital representation in legal and social contexts.
Narrative: Ubiquitous AR glasses lead to a world where physical appearance is a customizable commodity, driving consumerism and technological advancement.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Widespread reliance on AR for identity leads to social anxiety and a breakdown of trust when the technology fails.
Technological Impact: Global supply chain disruptions or cyberattacks cripple AR infrastructure, rendering avatars useless.
Ecological Impact: E-waste from discarded AR glasses contributes significantly to pollution during resource scarcity.
Economic Impact: Collapse of the AR customization market triggers widespread job losses and economic instability.
Political Impact: Social unrest and political instability follow the disruption of AR-dependent communication and identity systems.
Narrative: Over-reliance on AR for identity and self-expression makes society vulnerable to technological failures and widespread social chaos when the system collapses.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Social conformity is enforced through mandated avatar guidelines and restrictions on self-expression.
Technological Impact: AR technology is centrally controlled and monitored, limiting customization options and tracking user behavior.
Ecological Impact: Standardized AR glasses are manufactured efficiently, reducing e-waste but limiting individual choice.
Economic Impact: The AR customization market becomes highly regulated, with a few dominant companies or state-run services.
Political Impact: Governments use AR avatars for social control, identification, and propaganda dissemination.
Narrative: AR avatars become a tool for societal control, with governments or corporations dictating acceptable appearances and behaviors in the augmented reality.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: AR facilitates deep empathy and understanding by allowing users to experience life from different perspectives through avatars and altered self-perception.
Technological Impact: AR glasses evolve to project less onto the user's appearance and instead focus on empathy-building experiences, creating a bridge between the physical and digital.
Ecological Impact: Reduced consumerism due to emphasis on inner experiences translates into lower resource depletion.
Economic Impact: The economy shifts from superficial customization to experiences and services that foster self-discovery and empathy.
Political Impact: Political discourse becomes more nuanced and understanding as AR bridges ideological divides through embodied experiences.
Narrative: AR technology enables profound self-discovery and empathy, transforming society by fostering deeper understanding and connection between individuals.