Imagined Future Scenarios
Robotics, Possible Futures, Long Term (5 - 10 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Smart home technology to support engagement in everyday activities while ageing: A focus group study with current and future generations of older adults' - Plos.org
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased lifespan and improved quality of life for the elderly lead to aging population challenges.
Technological Impact: Ubiquitous smart home technology and advanced AI create personalized memory care.
Ecological Impact: Increased energy consumption and e-waste from widespread adoption of smart home tech degrade environment.
Economic Impact: Large corporations dominate the smart home market, widening the wealth gap.
Political Impact: Governments struggle to regulate data privacy and algorithmic bias in elderly care systems.
Narrative: Smart homes become essential, data-driven wellness tools, but exacerbate existing inequalities and resource depletion.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: System failure leads to widespread anxiety and distrust in smart home technology, isolating the elderly.
Technological Impact: Power outages and cyberattacks render smart homes useless, dismantling elderly care.
Ecological Impact: Abandoned and decaying smart home infrastructure contributes to pollution and resource waste.
Economic Impact: Economic downturns render smart home maintenance unaffordable, leading to abandonment.
Political Impact: Government collapse or corruption hampers regulation and support for elderly care programs.
Narrative: The promise of assistive technology crumbles under systemic stresses, leaving the elderly vulnerable and unsupported.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Elderly care becomes highly standardized and controlled with reduced individuality and autonomy.
Technological Impact: Centralized AI manages memory care, prioritizing efficiency and minimizing healthcare costs.
Ecological Impact: Standardized, energy-efficient smart homes minimize environmental impact under strict guidelines.
Economic Impact: Government-funded or subsidized programs provide basic smart home care for all, regardless of income.
Political Impact: Authoritarian regimes monitor and control resident data for social control and compliance.
Narrative: A structured, centralized authority dictates elderly care through tightly managed smart homes, prioritizing efficiency and societal control over freedom.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Smart homes foster intergenerational connections and community-based memory sharing, empowering the elderly.
Technological Impact: Open-source AI and decentralized data ownership put control in the hands of residents and caregivers.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable, regenerative smart home designs prioritize resource efficiency and minimize environmental footprint.
Economic Impact: Community-owned cooperatives provide affordable and personalized smart home solutions.
Political Impact: Local governance and participatory decision-making empower communities to design age-friendly environments.
Narrative: Community-driven innovation transforms smart homes into tools for holistic well-being, connectioning generations and fostering collective responsibility.