Imagined Future Scenarios
Robotics, Plausible Futures, Medium Term (3 - 5 years)
Scenario Generated from 'Smart home technology to support engagement in everyday activities while ageing: A focus group study with current and future generations of older adults' - Plos.org
Future Arc and Implications
Grow Arc
Social Impact: Increased reliance on holographic companionship leads to further erosion of real human interaction skills.
Technological Impact: Holographic technology advances rapidly, becoming more realistic and integrated into everyday life.
Ecological Impact: Increased energy consumption and e-waste from holographic devices contribute to environmental degradation.
Economic Impact: Booming holographic technology industry creates jobs but exacerbates income inequality due to access barriers.
Political Impact: Governments struggle to regulate the increasingly pervasive and emotionally manipulative holographic industry.
Narrative: Holographic family visits become ubiquitous, driven by consumer demand and technological advancement, ultimately replacing real familial connections.
Collapse Arc
Social Impact: Widespread system failures render holographic visits impossible, triggering profound loneliness and social unrest among the elderly.
Technological Impact: Breakdown of infrastructure and supply chains leads to the rapid obsolescence of holographic technology.
Ecological Impact: Resource scarcity and environmental disasters force a shift away from energy-intensive holographic systems.
Economic Impact: Economic depression cripples the holographic industry and disrupts elder care services.
Political Impact: Government collapses leave the elderly vulnerable and without access to essential support, including holographic aid.
Narrative: A cascade of systemic failures shuts down holographic technology, leaving isolated seniors even more vulnerable than before.
Discipline Arc
Social Impact: Holographic visits are strictly regulated by the state, prioritizing those deemed most vulnerable and beneficial to society.
Technological Impact: Focus shifts toward standardized, cost-effective holographic systems managed and controlled by centralized authorities.
Ecological Impact: Rationing of resources leads to restrictions on holographic use to conserve energy and reduce e-waste.
Economic Impact: Government subsidies support a limited holographic industry, prioritizing standardized and essential applications.
Political Impact: Authoritarian regimes utilize holographic technology for surveillance, propaganda, and social control of the elderly.
Narrative: A highly controlled society dictates the use of holographic technology for social engineering and resource management, limiting individual autonomy.
Transform Arc
Social Impact: Holographic visits spark a renewed appreciation for real human connection, leading to initiatives fostering intergenerational relationships.
Technological Impact: Holographic technology evolves beyond simple visits, facilitating immersive and meaningful shared experiences across generations.
Ecological Impact: Sustainable holographic solutions powered by renewable energy promote eco-conscious elder care practices.
Economic Impact: Decentralized cooperative models create affordable and accessible holographic options for all elderly individuals.
Political Impact: Grassroots movements advocate for policies promoting social connection and ethical deployment of holographic technology.
Narrative: A conscious shift towards authentic connection leverages holographic technologies for good, catalyzing a societal re-evaluation of aging, social relationships, and sustainable technology.